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It won't be until the end of 2025 that we'll see 6% mortgage rates, predicts Capital Economics, which had previously penciled in a 5% rate by the end of that year.
Beyond this year, the group expects mortgage rates to slide to 4.9% by Q4 2024. Morningstar: Economists at Morningstar project that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate will average 6.25% in 2023, 5.0% in 2024, and 4.0% in 2025.
Forecast of Lowest Mortgage Interest Rates as of October 27, 2023 DateBoC Rate2-Year Fixed2024-12-314.75%5.78%2025-06-304.25%5.58%2025-12-314.25%5.44%2026-06-304%5.35%9 more rows ?
Borrowers with fixed rates are expected to see an average payment increase of between 14 per cent and 25 per cent next year compared with early 2022 costs, ing to the Bank of Canada. In 2025 and 2026, payments should rise between 20 per cent to 25 per cent.
25% increase would not be a complete surprise. Signs of economic slowdown, with lower fixed mortgage rates near the end of 2023/early 2024 and a Central Bank of Canada rate drop in mid 2024.