Maine Gas Storage Lease
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FAQ
The basic approach to storage valuation is to calculate the optimal position given the available forward curve and take this position on the forward market. This intrinsic value approach captures the predictable seasonal pattern in gas prices and secures a sure profit.
The market part of the storage value has two components: intrinsic and extrinsic value. While intrinsic value is a static view of the forward curve, extrinsic value is a complex function of the seasonal spread, spot price volatility, forward spread volatility, asset flexibility and individual optimisation strategies.
Depleted natural gas or oil fields function as gas storage reservoirs in California. Natural gas is injected into the storage reservoirs through gas storage wells and stored until withdrawn for use. There are 12 underground natural gas storage fields in the state.
Deliverability is most often expressed as a measure of the amount of gas that can be delivered (withdrawn) from a storage facility on a daily basis. Also referred to as the deliverability rate, withdrawal rate, or withdrawal capacity, deliverability is usually expressed in terms of million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d).
The storage value is a portfolio of complex spread options. The value of the spread option is a function of the value of the forward contracts plus the risk-neutral expectation of the future forward value spread. The factor driving the spread option values (storage value) is the variability of the forward curve.
The intrinsic valuation methodology derives value from time spreads in the price of gas. Months for which the forward price is relatively low are chosen from the current forward curve for entering into a long position and injecting gas into the facility.
