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Also referred to as overconfidence in interval estimates (e.g., Soll & Klayman, 2004), overprecision is the excessive certainty that one knows the truth.

Overprecision is the result of being wrong and not knowing it. This explanation can account for why question formats have such a dramatic influence on the degree of overprecision people report. It also explains the ubiquity of overprecision not only among people but also among artificially intelligent agents.

life example of overconfidence bias is people's assumptions about their sense of direction. Some people may think they have a great sense of direction even when visiting an unknown area. Because they trust their ability, they refuse to check a map or ask others for help. This can cause them to end up lost.

Self-esteem first begins to rise between ages 4 and 11, as children develop socially and cognitively and gain some sense of independence.

It manifests as excessive certainty regarding the accuracy of one's beliefs. This certainty is expressed using numbers, usually with unrealistic percentages or confidence intervals. For instance, gamblers exhibit overprecision when they assume that they can accurately predict what will appear next on the roulette.

Measuring overconfidence necessitates a comparison between beliefs and reality. We then consider each of the three types of overconfidence in turn: overestimation, overplacement, and overprecision.

How we feel about ourselves changes a lot throughout life, and it's often been said that the older we get, the more secure we feel and the more self-worth we possess. Now, we have the facts to back it up - new research from the Psychological Bulletin reveals that our self-esteem peaks when we are 60-years-old.

They occur at different times and in different ways (Moore & Healy, 2008). Overestimation is thinking that you are better than you really are. Overplacement is the exaggerated belief that you are better than others. Overprecision is the excessive faith that you know the truth.