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Creative Forecasting Publishers for the Activity Professional A Monthly Publication for Activity & Recreation Professionals Vol. XXVI, No. 8, August 2014, $6.00 August Is Celebrating Summer Fun.

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Prediction is concerned with future certainty; forecasting looks at how hidden currents in the present signal possible changes in direction for companies, societies, or the world at large. Thus, the primary goal of forecasting is to identify the full range of possibilities, not a limited set of illusory certainties.

Forecasts often include projections showing how one variable affects another over time. For example, a sales forecast may show how much money a business might spend on advertising based on projected sales figures for each quarter of the year.

exploring models of human activity that reason about the future. Although rea- soning about future actions often requires a large amount of contextual prior. knowledge, let us consider the information that can be gleaned from physical. scene features and prior knowledge of goals.

There are three basic types—qualitative techniques, time series analysis and projection, and causal models.

This approach, called activity forecasting, involves predicting the time until an activity of interest will occur. Instead of determining a discrete classification for the next activity, activity forecasting methods determine a continuous-valued output prediction of the time until a particular activity occurs.

I wanted to let you know that Creative Forecasting, Inc. is closing after more than 33½ years. The pandemic really affected our revenue, and we are physically, emotionally, and financially exhausted and ready for a new chapter in our lives. The July 2021 issue is the last current issue we are posting.

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