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Institute of Technology (KIT)) Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies No 05/2011 Discussion Papers represent the authors personal opinions and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Deutsche Bundesbank or its staff. Editorial Board: Klaus D llmann Frank Heid Heinz Herrmann Karl-Heinz T dter Deutsche Bundesbank, Wilhelm-Epstein-Stra e 14, 60431 Frankfurt am Main, Postfach 10 06 02, 60006 Frankfurt am Main Tel +49 69 9566-0 Telex within Germany 41227, telex from a.
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Hilton FAQ
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Reduced-form models seek to predict when a default may occur, but they do not explain the why as do structural models. Reduced-form models, unlike structural models, are based only on observable variables.
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In other words, the reduced form of an econometric model is one that has been rearranged algebraically so that each endogenous variable is on the left side of one equation and only predetermined variables (like exogenous variables and lagged endogenous variables) are on the right side.
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Reduced-form models evaluate endogenous variables in terms of observable exogenous variables and serve to identify relationships between the variables. Structural models are derived from theory and often include unobservable parameters that help describe behavior at a deep level.
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The structural model consists of the objects in the system and the static relationships that exist between them. Groups of objects can be partitioned into packages or subsystems. Object model diagrams define the structural model.
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The reduced form of a model is the one in which the endogenous variables are expressed as functions of the exogenous variables (and perhaps lagged values of the endogenous variables).
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